Oilfield Production Forecasting Model Based on CNN-LSTM
(1.School of Petroleum Engineering, Yangtze University, Wuhan 430100, China; 2.Hubei Key Laboratory of Drilling and Production Engineering for Oil and Gas, Yangtze University, Wuhan 430100, China; 3.National Engineering Research Center for Oil and Gas Drilling and Completion Technology, Yangtze University, Wuhan 430100, China)
Abstract
Oilfield production forecasting is a fundamental task for formulating production and development scheme. With the increasing volume of data, traditional methods face significant challenges. Establishing forecasting models through Machine Learning has become a more accurate and efficient method. This paper combines two fundamental models, Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), to construct a CNN-LSTM model. It extracts some prominent features from the oilfield data by CNN, and uses the features as input to construct the LSTM time series dataset. It reveals the hidden relationship between features and spatial interaction in data, and then enhances the accuracy of the forecasting results. In addition, the experiment results demonstrate that compared with standalone LSTM model and CNN model, the CNN-LSTM model has significant advantages in terms of forecasting performance. It can forecast the oilfield production data more accurately and provide reliable data support for the subsequent oilfield development.
Keywords
CNN-LSTM; Machine Learning; production forecasting
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Funding
National Natural Science Foundation of China Youth Science Foundation (52104020)
About the authors
Zhang Hanwen (1999-), male, Han ethnicity, from Weinan, Shaanxi. He is currently pursuing a master's degree in oil and gas field development engineering; Corresponding author: Xin Xiankang (1986-), male, Han ethnicity, from Wenshang, Shandong, associate professor, master's supervisor, PhD, research direction: oil and gas field development engineering